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Chelsea have recorded 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws in their last 10 Premier League games. But despite Chelsea’s inconsistent performances this season, the Blues are still fourth in the league and six points clear of Manchester United.

Chelsea’s recent saw the Blues play out a 2-2 draw at home against Arsenal, despite having gone ahead twice in the game.

Lads from FiveThirtyEight have created a unique predictive model which calculates each Premier League side’s chances to win the title based on a team’s position in the standings, current form, overall strength and a number of other key points.

Their creative analysis has backed Chelsea to finish fourth in the league, while also predicting Wolves to take fifth place, Tottenham sixth and surprisingly Manchester United who are Chelsea’s closest rivals to finish the season in 7th.

Their permutations found that Chelsea have a 67 per cent chance to make the top four at the end of the season. The Blues are expected to finish fourth with a predicted point tally of 65, 5 points behind Leicester, 18 behind Manchester City and 36 behind likeliest champions Liverpool.