Prediction expert backs Burnley to stun Chelsea

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Chelsea came off two back to back goalless draws to beat Krasnodar 4-0 in the Champions League tie away at Russia.

Chelsea now have a difficult nut to crack as the Blues face Burnley at the Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon.

Burnley are in very poor form this season, and have gained just one point so far, losing four of their five league games.

Meanwhile, betting expert Jones Knows has revealed that he’s not getting carried away by Chelsea’s 4-0 win against Krasnodar and that he wasn’t convinced by the performance. He has even backed Burnley to beat Chelsea 2-1.

He said in his prediction for Sky Sports: “You see that Chelsea bandwagon over there? I am not on it.

“Frank Lampard is one talented human being, no question, and he may have convinced the betting markets regarding Chelsea’s current form but he has not tricked me.

“I am yet to believe his Chelsea team have a thirst for defending on the road or have even found the right balance between attack and defence to the extent that they can be relied upon to win at 1/2 with Sky Bet away from home.

“Remember, this is a team that have won just three of their last 12 away Premier League games and have kept just two clean sheets in 22 league games on the road under Lampard. Big swerve.

“I was on minute-by-minute blogging duty for their 4-0 win over Krasnodar in midweek – a fantastic result, sure, but a scoreline that absolutely flattered them with two late goals against the deflated hosts putting unheralded gloss on the scoreboard. At 1-0 down, Krasnodar struck the bar and were the better team when Timo Werner fired home a very fortunate penalty award.

“The hefty 2,000 mile journey back from Russia also is a huge negative for Chelsea to deal with, such mammoth trips have caught fellow ‘top teams’ out in their next fixture. The record of Premier League teams in their next game having played a midweek game in Russia since 2013 reads: P13 W2 D2 L9. That is a staggering statistic when you factor in most of those teams in question will have gone off heavy favourites for the match in question.

“I can trust Burnley to take advantage. Do not be fooled by their winless start. Sean Dyche’s men are as rugged and defensively solid as last season – as shown by their expected goals against figure of 1.03 per game which ranks among the best defences in the league. Spurs, arguably the hottest attack in the league on form, found it very tough to find a way through on Monday with Burnley restricting them to a 0.68 xG figure in the 1-0 defeat.”

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About the Author

Chelsea is more than just a football club to me; it's a passion I share, and my affinity with the Chelsea badge is one that will last forever. As far as watching my favourite team is concerned, I'd rather miss a meal than miss a Chelsea game.